Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.001241 0.001395 0.001549 0.001715 0.001886 0.002059 0.002246
2025-11-02 0.000990 0.001212 0.001441 0.001693 0.001960 0.002233 0.002534
2025-11-09 0.000798 0.001070 0.001358 0.001682 0.002032 0.002396 0.002801
2025-11-16 0.000647 0.000955 0.001292 0.001680 0.002106 0.002555 0.003060
2025-11-23 0.000522 0.000857 0.001236 0.001681 0.002178 0.002706 0.003305
2025-11-30 0.000452 0.000816 0.001239 0.001742 0.002311 0.002921 0.003616
2025-12-07 0.000357 0.000733 0.001186 0.001737 0.002366 0.003047 0.003827
2025-12-14 0.000262 0.000639 0.001113 0.001701 0.002382 0.003127 0.003985
2025-12-21 0.000212 0.000598 0.001100 0.001733 0.002474 0.003287 0.004229
2025-12-28 0.000144 0.000521 0.001037 0.001702 0.002488 0.003359 0.004374
2026-01-04 0.000101 0.000474 0.001007 0.001707 0.002543 0.003475 0.004564
2026-01-11 0.000062 0.000420 0.000966 0.001696 0.002577 0.003564 0.004723
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000348 0.000907 0.001679 0.002623 0.003691 0.004951
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000281 0.000849 0.001660 0.002669 0.003818 0.005182
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000225 0.000801 0.001652 0.002725 0.003957 0.005427
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000179 0.000761 0.001651 0.002790 0.004106 0.005682
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000139 0.000724 0.001654 0.002856 0.004255 0.005936
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000125 0.000733 0.001715 0.002994 0.004487 0.006285
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000091 0.000695 0.001710 0.003048 0.004619 0.006518
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000054 0.000638 0.001675 0.003062 0.004703 0.006694
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000040 0.000629 0.001707 0.003160 0.004885 0.006982
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000017 0.000579 0.001676 0.003176 0.004967 0.007154
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000006 0.000555 0.001681 0.003237 0.005103 0.007386